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ေဘးအိမ္က အသံ တစ္သံ

From : ..Hmuu Zaw


ထိုင္းႏုိင္ငံက ေနးရွင္းသတင္းစာရဲ႕ Regional Perspective ေဆာင္းပါးေလးတစ္ပုဒ္ ျဖစ္ပါတယ္။

ႏုိင္ငံေတာ္သမၼတႀကီးရဲ႕ အိမ္ျဖဴေတာ္ခရီးစဥ္၊ ဂ်ပန္ႏုိင္ငံဝန္ႀကီးခ်ဳပ္ရဲ႕ ေနျပည္ေတာ္ခရီးစဥ္ ဆက္တိုက္ဆိုသလို ျဖစ္ေပၚလာတဲ့အေပၚမွာ ေဒသတြင္းႏုိင္ငံေတြဆီက ေလ့လာေစာင့္ ၾကည့္သူေတြရဲ႕ ျဖစ္ေပၚလာတဲ့ အေတြးအေခၚ အယူအဆေတြ ျဖစ္ပါတယ္။

"the icon of reform" လို႕ အေမရိကန္မွာ သတ္မွတ္ျခင္းခံရတဲ့ ႏုိင္ငံေတာ္သမၼတႀကီးနဲ႕ "the icon of democracy" ေဒၚေအာင္ဆန္းစုၾကည္တို႕ ေခါင္းေဆာင္(၂)ဦး လက္တြဲပူးေပါင္းျပီး ျမန္မာႏိုင္ငံရဲ႕ ပုံရိပ္ကို ဆြဲတင္ခဲ့တဲ့အတြက္ ႏုိင္ငံတကာရဲ႕ အသိအမွတ္ျပဳမႈကို အလ်င္အျမန္ ရရွိလာခဲ့တာ ျဖစ္တယ္ လို႕ ေကာက္ခ်က္ ခ်ထားပါတယ္။

အေမရိကန္၊ ဂ်ပန္တို႕ရဲ႕ ႏုိင္ငံျခားေရးမူဝါဒမိတ္ဘက္အျဖစ္ ရပ္တည္ခဲ့တဲ့ ထိုင္းႏုိင္ငံရဲ႕ အခန္းက႑ဟာ ျပီးဆုံသြားျပီ၊ ထိုင္းႏုိင္ငံရဲ႕ Land of Smile ေနရာကို ျမန္မာႏုိင္ငံက ယူသြားျပီ၊ ေနာက္ပိုင္းမွာ အေမရိကန္ရဲ႕ အေရွ႕ေတာင္အာရွမဟာဗ်ဴဟာကို ျမန္မာႏိုင္ငံက အထူးကိုယ္စားျပဳသြားေတာ့မယ္ ဆိုတဲ့သေဘာမ်ဳိးေတြ ေဝဖန္ေရးသားထားတာ ေတြ႕ရပါတယ္။

ဒီေဆာင္းပါးထဲက ရႈျမင္ခ်က္ေတြဟာ အကုန္လုံးမွန္တယ္ လို႕ေတာ့ ေျပာလို႕ မရပါဘူး။ ေဘးအိမ္ တစ္အိမ္က ထြက္ေပၚလာတဲ့ အသံတစ္သံသက္သက္ပါပဲ။ ေနာက္ထပ္ မတူညီတဲ့ အသံေတြ ရွိေနဦးမွာပါပဲ။

ဒါေပမယ့္ ျမန္မာႏုိင္ငံရဲ႕ လက္ရွိ ေရာက္ရွိေနတဲ့ ေျခလွမ္းေတြအေပၚ ေဒသတြင္းႏုိင္ငံေတြက ဘယ္ပုံဘယ္နည္း ရႈျမင္ေနၾကတယ္ ဆိုတာကို သိသာေစခ်င္တာပါ။

၂၀၁၀ ေရြးေကာက္ပြဲအႀကဳိကာလေတြမွာ တြင္တြင္က်ယ္က်ယ္ အသုံးျပဳခဲ့ၾကတဲ့ Political Space ကို ခ်ဲ႕ထြင္ဖို႕၊ ေနာက္ ၂၀၁၀ ေရြးေကာက္ပြဲအလြန္ကာလေတြမွာ ေျပာခဲ့ၾကတဲ့ All Inclusive Political Process ျဖစ္ဖို႕၊ ေနာက္ All Inclusive State Building နဲ႕ All Inclusive Nation Building ၊ ေနာက္ ဒီမိုကရက္တစ္ အုတ္ျမစ္ျဖစ္တဲ့ ဖြဲ႕စည္းပုံအေျခခံဥပေဒ ျပန္လည္ေလ့လာသုံးသပ္ေရး၊ ႏုိင္ငံေရးကြဲလြဲမႈေတြကို ေစ့စပ္ညွိႏႈိင္းမႈေတြက တစ္ဆင့္ ေျဖရွင္းေရး စတဲ့ အဆင့္ဆင့္ေသာ ျဖတ္သန္းလာခဲ့တဲ့ မွတ္တိုင္ေတြကို ျပန္ၾကည့္ရင္ သမိုင္းဝင္အသြင္ကူးေျပာင္းေရးကာလတစ္ခုကို လက္ရွိ ကၽြန္ေတာ္တို႕အားလုံး ကိုယ္တိုင္ကုိယ္က် လက္ေတြ႕ ေတြ႕ျမင္ေနၾကရတာပဲ ျဖစ္ပါတယ္။

Yingluck has not officially visited the White House either. And should we forget, Thailand and the US are celebrating their 180-year-old relationship on Wednesday at the Foreign Ministry with a reception, photo exhibition and some cultural performances. It was a much scaled-down version of the grand celebration discussed last year.

There is a strong sense of let-down in Thailand as Myanmar rises with all kinds of optimism. Now Thein Sein is known in the US as "the icon of reform", while "the icon of democracy" is the label given to opposition party leader Aung San Suu Kyi, by the US president during her visit to Washington earlier. Indeed, both Thein Sein and Suu Kyi are working together to upgrade their country's profile and have earned rapid international recognition.

Meanwhile, Foreign Minister Surapong Towichakchaikul visited Washington DC and met with new US State Secretary John Kerry in early May. There was a short two-paragraph press release about their meeting, which was supposed to be a strategic dialogue. No details were given, even when Kerry said the two countries would work out plans for the next 180 years.

Thailand used to be at the centre of foreign policy initiatives emanating from Japan and the US concerning this part of the world. Those days are gone. Now, the Land of Smiles is being replaced by Myanmar. During the Bush administration, Myanmar was named as one of three members in the "axis of evil". Now, 20 months after the initial reforms, the country has become the most sought after by the major powers and regional groupings, particularly the EU. Myanmar is so popular that some Western countries are loosening up their judgement on human rights and governance issues, revealing their hypocrisy to the bones.

From now on, Myanmar will feature in the overall US strategic blueprint for Southeast Asia. Under this security umbrella, the US will continue to engage with Myanmar and to strengthen its relations, especially security and military education, to a new level. Despite ongoing human violations in ethnic areas and other oppressive activities, Washington would be willing to lower its critical voice as it did in the past with friends in Latin America. Given the new strategic landscape in Southeast Asia, Myanmar will have wider room to breathe and to consolidate its position in the region and global arena vis-a-vis the ongoing conflict with the armed ethnic groups at home.

At this juncture, Thailand has to wake up to the harsh reality that the US, despite diplomatic pleasantries, is no longer playing the waiting game it used to. With the rise of China and diplomatic commitments that come with it, Washington does not favour Bangkok's approach. The impression among US policy-makers and academics is persistently strong that Thailand is a pro-China country. So, it is difficult to have a genuine alliance with Thailand under the new security environment. Other remaining US allies in the region — Australia, Japan, South Korea and the Philippines—do not have such a problem. The Foreign Ministry often reiterates that it has never chosen any side, particularly between the US and China - but in the real diplomatic world, day-to-day actions speak louder than words. Thailand has leaned toward China for all good and practical reasons.

Read More : http://www.nationmultimedia.com/opinion/Thailand-withers-as-Myanmar-rises-30206930.html

.. www.MyanmarExpress.net
 

1 comments:

The Thailand and Myanmar need to unite to defend the muslims.

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